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Bayesian Analysis

of Stochastic

Process Models

David Rios Insua

Fabrizio Ruggeri

Michael P. Wiper

WILEY SERIES IN PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS

Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic

Process Models

WILEY SERIES IN PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS

Established by WALTER A. SHEWHART and SAMUEL S. WILKS

Editors: David J. Balding, Noel A.C. Cressie, Garrett M. Fitzmaurice,

Harvey Goldstein, Iain M. Johnstone, Geert Molenberghs, David W. Scott,

Adrian F.M. Smith, Ruey S. Tsay, Sanford Weisberg

Editors Emeriti: Vic Barnett, Ralph A. Bradley, J. Stuart Hunter, J.B. Kadane,

David G. Kendall, Jozef L. Teugels

A complete list of the titles in this series appears at the end of this volume.

Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic

Process Models

David Rios Insua

Department of Statistics and Operations Research

Universidad Rey Juan Carlos, Madrid, Spain

Fabrizio Ruggeri

CNR-IMATI, Milan, Italy

Michael P. Wiper

Department of Statistics, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Spain

A John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., Publication