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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
FINANCIAL MARKETS
JOHN J. MURPHY
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TECHNICAL
ANALYSIS
FINANCIAL
MARKETS
A COMPREHENSIVE GUIDE TO TRADING
METHODS AND APPLICATIONS
JOHN J. MURPHY
MlflF
NEW YORK INSTITUTE OF FINANCE
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Library of Congress Cataloging in Publication Data
Murphy, John J., [date] Technical analysis of the financial markets / John J.
Murphy. p. cm. Rev. ed. of: Technical analysis of the futures markets.
cl986. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 0-7352-0066-
1
1. Futures market. 2. Commodity exchanges. I. Murphy, John J.
Technical analysis of the futures markets. II. Title. HG6046.M87 1999
332.64'4—dc21
98-38531
CIP
© 1999 by John J. Murphy
All rights reserved.
No parts of this book may be reproduced
in any form or by any means,
without permission in writing from the publisher.
Portions of this book were previously published as
Technical Analysis of the Futures Markets
(New York Institute of Finance, 1985).
Printed in the United States of America 10
9876
This publication is designed to provide accurate and authoritative information in regard to the
subject matter covered. It is sold with the understanding that the publisher is not engaged in
rendering legal, accounting, or other professional service. If legal advice or other expert
assistance is required, the services of a competent professional person should be sought.
—From
the Declaration of Principles jointly adopted by a Committee of the American Bar
Association and a Committee of Publishers and Associations.
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ISBN 0-735E-D0bb-l
NEW YORK INSTITUTE OF FINANCE
Paramus, NJ 07652
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are trademarks of Executive Tax Reports, Inc. used
under license by Prentice Hall Direct, Inc.
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To my parents,
Timothy and Margaret
and
To Patty, Clare, and Brian
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Contents
About the Author
Contributors
xxiii
About the
xxv
Introduction
xxxi
xxvii
Acknowledgments
Philosophy of Technical Analysis
Introduction
1
Philosophy or Rationale
6
2
Technical versus Fundamental Forecasting
Analysis versus Timing
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